Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.044861 0.048895 0.052991 0.057454 0.062174 0.067009 0.072330
2024-12-29 0.038791 0.044713 0.050952 0.057989 0.065678 0.073800 0.082999
2025-01-05 0.034075 0.041354 0.049286 0.058508 0.068873 0.080102 0.093125
2025-01-12 0.029605 0.037769 0.046953 0.057937 0.070601 0.084633 0.101244
2025-01-19 0.026724 0.035677 0.046042 0.058748 0.073720 0.090628 0.110986
2025-01-26 0.023618 0.033007 0.044191 0.058233 0.075129 0.094550 0.118304
2025-02-02 0.021365 0.031158 0.043134 0.058497 0.077325 0.099304 0.126551
2025-02-09 0.019819 0.030047 0.042852 0.059596 0.080447 0.105111 0.136035
2025-02-16 0.019053 0.029864 0.043673 0.062017 0.085163 0.112840 0.147860
2025-02-23 0.016521 0.027116 0.041025 0.059902 0.084136 0.113525 0.151157
2025-03-02 0.014833 0.025386 0.039583 0.059215 0.084802 0.116206 0.156824
2025-03-09 0.013429 0.023942 0.038422 0.058805 0.085746 0.119182 0.162828
2025-03-16 0.012943 0.023828 0.039100 0.060889 0.089998 0.126426 0.174303
2025-03-23 0.012145 0.023187 0.039000 0.061904 0.092859 0.131948 0.183703
2025-03-30 0.011351 0.022488 0.038771 0.062709 0.095433 0.137120 0.192707
2025-04-06 0.010266 0.021242 0.037679 0.062257 0.096290 0.140070 0.198910
2025-04-13 0.009656 0.020711 0.037597 0.063193 0.099001 0.145422 0.208198
2025-04-20 0.008733 0.019580 0.036550 0.062699 0.099726 0.148167 0.214149
2025-04-27 0.008084 0.018862 0.036083 0.063004 0.101522 0.152307 0.221908
2025-05-04 0.007688 0.018554 0.036225 0.064177 0.104515 0.158035 0.231749
2025-05-11 0.007623 0.018835 0.037296 0.066734 0.109467 0.166407 0.245095
2025-05-18 0.006567 0.017190 0.035212 0.064512 0.107632 0.165669 0.246500
2025-05-25 0.005902 0.016221 0.034161 0.063791 0.107882 0.167700 0.251526